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Journal Article
JA0406-11
Article TitleUsers’ perspectives on validity of a simulation model for natural resource management
AuthorBetha Lusiana, Meine van Noordwijk, Desi Suyamto, Rachmat Mulia, Laxman Joshi and Georg Cadisch
Year2011
Journal TitleInternational Journal of Agricultural Sustainability
InstitutionTaylor & Francis
Volume9
Issue2
Pages364-378
Call NumberJA0406-11
Keywordsland-use change model; model users; model validation; participatory approach; salience–credibility–legitimacy
Abstract:
Managers of agro-ecosystems trade off food production and livelihood strategies against environmental services. They need tools to prospect a wide range of external conditions. Integrated simulation models allow stakeholders to discuss the plausible behaviour of agro-ecosystems and to evaluate dynamic trade-offs, as a basis for planning and policy making in agriculture and natural resource management. However, simulation models need to gain stakeholders’ acceptance before they will be utilized. Gaining stakeholders’ acceptance likely requires salience, credibility and legitimacy. We surveyed the perceptions and expectations of 122 potential model users in four countries, prioritizing these model attributes. A possible shift in user perception was assessed during a participatory model evaluation of a resource management model (FALLOW) for post-tsunami development in West Aceh (Indonesia). Potential modelusers, comprising natural resource managers, policy makers, lecturers and scientists, ranked salience as the most important characteristic for an integrated simulation model, followed by credibility and legitimacy. Model users’ occupation, prior exposure and interest in using a simulation model did not have a statistically significant influenceon users’ perceptions of model attributes.
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