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Working Paper Series
WP0191-16
TitleDynamics of Land Use/Cover Change and Carbon Emission in Buol District, Indonesia
AuthorChandra Irawadi Wijaya, Subekti Rahayu, Arif Prasetyo and Elissa Dwiyanti
Year2015
PublisherWorld Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) Southeast Asia Regional Program
City of PublicationBogor, Indonesia
Series NumberWorking Paper no. 214
Number of Pages19
Call NumberWP0191-16
KeywordsLand use/cover changes, trajectories, deforestation, forest degradation, carbon emission, land use planning for low emission development strategy
Abstract:
The land-based sector in Buol District is the main source of livelihood for the community and therefore the trade-off between land provisions for developing its land-based sectors and improving ability of the landscape to store carbon stock is unavoidable. To support the local government of Buol District in formulating scenarios of land use planning towards low-emission development, this study resulted in analysis of land use/cover changes dynamic during 1996–2014, measurement carbon stock at plot level, and estimation of carbon emission at landscape level. This study also simulated the projection of carbon emission for the next 25 years based on the “business-as-usual” scenario.
Findings revealed that Forest, as the biggest carbon pool, was the main origin of the extensive development of Oil Palm Plantation and Complex Agroforestry as well as intermediate land uses/covers in the last two decades in Buol District. The carbon emission emitted by Forest transition to Oil Palm Plantation was seven times larger than Forest to Complex Agroforestry, even the total area of conversion from Forest to Oil Palm Plantation only 1.5 times larger than the conversion from Forest to Complex Agroforestry. Furthermore, deforestation and forest degradation activities contributed 77.6% of total net emission in Buol District during 2009–2014. The BAU projection for the next 25 years increased carbon emission as of 3.5 times than the baseline period (2009–2014). Under the land use planning for low emission development strategy, the study suggest four major activities in Buol District that may balance carbon emission and sequestration, while maintaining economic growth of the district. To ensure commitment of stakeholders in implementing this strategy, the local government should integrate the strategy into District Development Plan and District Spatial Plan, so that the implementation can also be monitored and evaluated as part of the district agenda.
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