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| Title | Dynamics of Land Use/Cover Change and Carbon Emission in Buol District, Indonesia | | Author | Chandra Irawadi Wijaya, Subekti Rahayu, Arif Prasetyo and Elissa Dwiyanti | | Year | 2015 | | Publisher | World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) Southeast Asia Regional Program | | City of Publication | Bogor, Indonesia | | Series Number | Working Paper no. 214 | | Number of Pages | 19 | | Call Number | WP0191-16 | | Keywords | Land use/cover changes, trajectories, deforestation, forest degradation, carbon emission, land use
planning for low emission development strategy |
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| Abstract: |
The land-based sector in Buol District is the main source of livelihood for the community and
therefore the trade-off between land provisions for developing its land-based sectors and improving
ability of the landscape to store carbon stock is unavoidable. To support the local government of Buol
District in formulating scenarios of land use planning towards low-emission development, this study
resulted in analysis of land use/cover changes dynamic during 1996–2014, measurement carbon stock
at plot level, and estimation of carbon emission at landscape level. This study also simulated the
projection of carbon emission for the next 25 years based on the “business-as-usual” scenario.
Findings revealed that Forest, as the biggest carbon pool, was the main origin of the extensive
development of Oil Palm Plantation and Complex Agroforestry as well as intermediate land
uses/covers in the last two decades in Buol District. The carbon emission emitted by Forest transition
to Oil Palm Plantation was seven times larger than Forest to Complex Agroforestry, even the total
area of conversion from Forest to Oil Palm Plantation only 1.5 times larger than the conversion from
Forest to Complex Agroforestry. Furthermore, deforestation and forest degradation activities
contributed 77.6% of total net emission in Buol District during 2009–2014. The BAU projection for
the next 25 years increased carbon emission as of 3.5 times than the baseline period (2009–2014).
Under the land use planning for low emission development strategy, the study suggest four major
activities in Buol District that may balance carbon emission and sequestration, while maintaining
economic growth of the district. To ensure commitment of stakeholders in implementing this strategy,
the local government should integrate the strategy into District Development Plan and District Spatial
Plan, so that the implementation can also be monitored and evaluated as part of the district agenda. |
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